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Sep 25, 2014

Jockey Club Gold Cup 2014

Last Gunfighter wins the Pimlico Special.

Last Gunfighter (First Samurai-Saratoga Cat) is the one of the older horses in the field. In his last start he came 6th. The horse has won the Excelsior Stakes (1 1/8 mile). Pimlico Special Stakes (1 3/16 mile), Philip H. Iselin Stakes (1 1/8 mile), Hawthorne Gold Cup Handicap (1 1/4 mile). He is by First Samurai, winner of the Hopeful Stakes (7 furlongs), Champagne Stakes (1 mile) and the Fountain of Youth (1 1/8 mile). He came 3rd in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (1 1/16 mile). Giant's Causeway, sire of First Samurai, won 'Weight For Age Stakes' races overseas before coming 2nd to two-time winner, Tiznow. Freddie Frisson, dam of Last Gunfighter, was 7-for-24. She was by Dixieland Band, winner of the 1983 Pennsylvania Derby (1 1/8 mile). He also won the Massachusetts Handicap (1 1/8 mile). I do like Last Gunfighter's Chances here and the payout might be pretty.

Prayer for Relief (Jump Start-Sparklin Lil) won mainly at 1 1/8 mile and 1 1/16 mile with his maiden coming at 6 furlongs. In the Pimlico Special, he beat rival Moreno with his 2nd place. Sired by Jump Start, who won at distances of 5 1/2 furlongs to 6 1/2 furlongs. He came 11th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and 2nd in the Champagne Stakes. A.P. Indy, grandsire of Prayer for Relief, went unbeaten for seven starts before coming 5th in the Molson Export Million Stakes (1 1/8 mile). The colt won the 1992 Belmont Stakes and the 1992 Breeders' Cup Classic. Sparklin Lil, dam of Prayer for Relief, won between 5 1/2 furlongs to 1 mile and 70 yards. She was sired by Mr. Sparkles, who was stakes placed. All-in-all this isn't my favorite horse but he has stamina on his sire's side.
Zivo wins the Suburban Handicap.
Zivo (True Direction-American Skipper) is an obvious threat to this race. The only time he finished worst than third was in the Woodward Stakes, which also happened to be his first attempt at the grade one level. His sire wasn't the best of racers and neither was his dam but I can't wait to see what Zivo does in this grade one.

The Jim Dandy winner Wicked Strong (Hard Spun-Moyne Abbey) will be joining the field. He will wear his blinkers again. His latest win was the Jim Dandy (1 1/8 mile) over Tonalist and Kid Cruz. During the Triple Crown he managed a fourth in the Derby (1 1/4 mile) and the Belmont (1 1/2 mile). He won the Wood Memorial (1 1/8 mile) and came ninth in the Holy Bull Stakes (1 1/16 mile). He is sired by Hard Spun. He was three for three as a two-year old. He won the LeComte Stakes (1 mile),  Lane's End Stakes (1 1/8 mile), King's Bishop (7 furlongs) and the Kentucky Cup Classic Stakes (1 1/8 mile). His other accomplishments include a 2nd in the Kentucky Derby (1 1/4 mile), 3rd in the Preakness (1 3/16 mile), 4th in the Belmont Stakes (1 1/2 mile), 1st in the Haskell Invitational (1 1/8 mile) and a 2nd in the Breeders' Cup Classic (1 1/4 mile), beating Derby winner Street Sense but losing to Preakness winner Curlin. Hard Spun is a very talented stallion who could win at distances between six to nine furlongs. He is sired by the three-for-three sire, Danzig. Wicked Strong's dam only won her maiden (1 1/16 mile) race out of twelve starts. Wicked Strong proved he has the pedigree and that he can compete with these horses.

As of now I still believe Tonalist (Tapit-Settling Mist) is a fluke and luck has just been on his side but if he can win this one I'll be on his side again. He won the Peter Pan (1 1/8 mile) and the Belmont (1 1/2 mile) before managing a 2nd in the Jim Dandy (1 1/8 mile). He is by Tapit, out of Settling Mist. Tapit won the Laurel Futurity (1 1/16 mile) and the Wood Memorial (1 1/8 mile). He came ninth in the Kentucky Derby and the Pennsylvania Derby (1 1/8 mile). The grandson of Seattle Slew, Pulpit is the grandsire of Tonalist. He, like Tapit, won the Fountain of Youth, came second in the Florida Derby, won the Toyota Blue Grass (1 1/8 mile) and 4th came in the Kentucky Derby. Settling Mist won one out of nineteen races. Tonalist for sure has the pedigree but will his luck wash away?

V.E. Day (blue silks) scores a narrow victory over
Wicked Strong in the Travers Stakes.


V.E. Day (English Channel-California Sunset) just won his first graded stakes. He started five times; his worst placing was a fifth in a maiden. He won his maiden (1 mile) five months into the year. In July V.E. Day won an allowance (1 1/8 mile) before winning the Curlin Stakes (1 1/8 mile), beating Charge Now and Viva Majorca. English Channel won the Virginia Derby (1 1/4 mile), Canadian Turf Handicap (1 1/16 mile), Woodford Turf Classic (1 1/8 mile), United Nations Stakes (1 3/8 mile), and the Breeder's Cup Turf (1 1/2 mile). California Sunset is unstarted. She is by Deputy Minister, the 2-Year Old Eclipse Award winner. V.E. Day has the pedigree but I'm a little worried about a slow pace working against him.

Moreno (Ghostzapper-Danceinthesunlight) has an exciting pedigree that includes multiple G1 winner Ghostzapper and Belmont winner A.P. Indy. Danceinthesunlight never raced, but Moreno certainly has, having won only 3 of his 20 starts. However two of those were the Dwyer (G2) and the Whitney (G1). While Moreno is a hard knocking horse, I think he got off on an easy lead in the Whitney. Because I know he has the real speed to use if needed, I'm counting him in as a contender.

His last win was in 2012 so I'll take a stab in the dark and say that Stephanoatsee (A.P. Indy-Oatsee) is a major pretender. Micromanage (Medaglia d'Oro-Catnip) would be a dark horse for me due to the fact that his last time going head to head with grade one company was third. Speak Logistics' (High Cotton-Miss Sabrina) last win was an Allowance Optional Claiming on November 1st, 2013. Long River (A.P. Indy-Round Pond) hasn't won anything since January so I'm going to toss him. For Big Cazanova (Giant's Causeway-Gem Bob) all I have to say is bye, bye!

Contenders-
-Moreno
-Last Gunfighter
-Prayer for Relief
-Tonalist
-Wicked Strong
-V.E. Day
-Zivo

Pretenders-
-Long River
-Big Cazanova
-Stephanoatsee
-Speak Logistics
-Mircomanage

Good luck guys!
Madison

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