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Oct 12, 2014

Smashing the Cup- Xpressbet Sprint | Retama Ruffian

"Win and You're In" Challenge Winners:
  • Palace
  • Private Zone (NOT Eligible due to Trainer)
  • Rich Tapestry 
  • Work All Week
Contenders (According to BC Website):
  • Bern Identity
  • Big Business
  • Big Macher
  • Clearly Now
  • Coup de Grace
  • Fast Anna
  • Favorite Tail
  • Heitai
  • No Nay Never
  • Salutos Amigos
  • Secret Circle
Previous BC Stats:
All of the Breeders' Cup Sprint races at Santa Anita have been won with a wire, rally or stalk. Horses that won with a rally were 5 YO (Midnight Lute) and up (Cardmania, 7). The favorites at Santa Anita have won once out of seven starts and showed one with one fourth place. The second favorite has won twice, placed once and showed twice with one fourth place finish. The third favorite has won one, placed one and show once, never placing fourth. 

Choosing A Winner:
Six winners of the Sprint have had lesson than five preps with three exceptions, Trinniberg (2012, 7 races), Amazombie (2010, 8 races) and Silver Train (2005, 5 races). The average number of prior starts is seven. Of twenty-two of the most recent Sprint winners, twelve had a victory in their prior race, six had placed and three showed. All but one of the winners (Trinniberg) had a six furlong victory PRIOR to the Breeders' Cup Sprint. An ideal workout would include at least one stamina bullet. 

I hope this helped you better understand how to handicap the Breeders' Cup Xpressbet Sprint. I will have another post about the Sprint which will include my thoughts on the race. 

Until next time,
Madison

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